Dacia Mioveni 0-1 Botosani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division Play-Out, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.64
Over
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.63
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
24%
4.47
6+
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
25%
+8.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dacia Mioveni The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Botosani The Market 52%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dacia Mioveni
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Botosani
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Botosani Botosani 1-0 HT 0-0 Dacia Mioveni Dacia Mioveni ROM2
30.08.2023 Dacia Mioveni Dacia Mioveni 0-2 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROK
10.03.2023 Botosani Botosani 1-1 HT 1-0 Dacia Mioveni Dacia Mioveni ROM
23.10.2022 Dacia Mioveni Dacia Mioveni 0-0 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
02.05.2022 Dacia Mioveni Dacia Mioveni 0-2 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
27.02.2022 Botosani Botosani 0-0 HT 0-0 Dacia Mioveni Dacia Mioveni ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dacia Mioveni
0-1
AWAY Botosani
0.05 xG 1.07
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
206 Passes 347
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Box Touches 6
11 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dacia Mioveni vs Botosani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botosani edged past Dacia Mioveni 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botosani as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dacia Mioveni had 40% of the ball to Botosani's 60%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 0.05 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botosani led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Dacia Mioveni and 1.00 for Botosani.

What was the final score of Dacia Mioveni vs Botosani?

Dacia Mioveni 0-1 Botosani in the Romania - 1st Division Play-Out on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dacia Mioveni vs Botosani?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botosani win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dacia Mioveni 33%, draw 24%, Botosani 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botosani), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botosani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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