CA Penarol vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
CA Penarol v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
CA Penarol 3-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol saw off Progreso 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: CA Penarol had 48% of the ball to Progreso's 52%, shots finished 19-7.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA Penarol and 0.20 for Progreso.
CA Penarol vs Progreso Result & Final Score
CA Penarol 3 - 1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
CA Penarol vs Progreso Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 56%, draw 25%, Progreso 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.