Grindavik 3-4 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grindavik EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.62/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.96
+18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grindavik
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.08.2024 Grindavik Grindavik 3-0 HT 1-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
08.07.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-2 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
16.09.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 3-0 HT 1-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
12.07.2023 Grindavik Grindavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
27.07.2022 Grindavik Grindavik 1-2 HT 0-2 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
20.05.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
POST-MATCH Grindavik vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri nicked a narrow win over Grindavik 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Thor Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thor Akureyri led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Grindavik and 1.50 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Grindavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Grindavik 3-4 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grindavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Grindavik 24%, draw 27%, Thor Akureyri 49%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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