Envigado 1-2 Llaneros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Llaneros EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.18/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.02
+7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
15.1 Crosses 16.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
1-2
AWAY Llaneros
1.59 xG 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
206 Passes 249
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Llaneros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llaneros edged past Envigado 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Envigado at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Envigado had 47% of the ball to Llaneros's 53%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.59 to 1.33.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Llaneros?

Envigado 1-2 Llaneros in the Colombia - Primera on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Llaneros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Envigado 42%, draw 31%, Llaneros 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Envigado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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