Derot 1-1 Abu Qair Semad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
24%
+12.7pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.3pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derot EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Abu Qair Semad EU Bookmakers 53%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.57/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.97/0.67
-29% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Derot vs Abu Qair Semad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derot and Abu Qair Semad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Abu Qair Semad at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Derot vs Abu Qair Semad?

Derot 1-1 Abu Qair Semad in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derot vs Abu Qair Semad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Abu Qair Semad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Derot 37%, draw 21%, Abu Qair Semad 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Abu Qair Semad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Abu Qair Semad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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