Petrojet 1-3 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.86
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 34% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.2pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrojet EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 51%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.16/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.80
-19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
24.6 Crosses 21.3
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrojet
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Zamalek
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.89 xG 0.98
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
201 Passes 374
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 30
29 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Zamalek Zamalek 1-1 HT 0-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
03.01.2015 Zamalek Zamalek 2-1 HT 1-1 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
07.07.2014 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 1-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrojet
1-3
AWAY Zamalek
1.51 xG 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
157 Passes 384
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Petrojet vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek got the better of Petrojet 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Petrojet had 34% of the ball to Zamalek's 66%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.51 to 1.00 — on chances, Petrojet could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zamalek led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Petrojet and 1.67 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of Petrojet vs Zamalek?

Petrojet 1-3 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrojet vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Petrojet 26%, draw 32%, Zamalek 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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