Vag 3-0 Staal Jorpeland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.25
No
38%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-2.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
76%
-13.8pp
38%
BTTS No
24%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vag EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Staal Jorpeland EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
4.47/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.26/2.74
+81% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
228 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vag
3-0
AWAY Staal Jorpeland
55% Ball Possession 45%
24 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vag vs Staal Jorpeland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vag swept aside Staal Jorpeland 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vag as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Vag had 55% of the ball to Staal Jorpeland's 45%, shots finished 24-7.

What was the final score of Vag vs Staal Jorpeland?

Vag 3-0 Staal Jorpeland in the Norway - 3rd Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vag vs Staal Jorpeland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vag win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Vag 56%, draw 22%, Staal Jorpeland 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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