Rhode Island 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
5.11
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.39/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.21
-12% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
24.2 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rhode Island
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.99
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
422 Passes 233
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
13 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
08.09.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 HT 1-0 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
14.04.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 0-0 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
0-1
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.10 xG 0.42
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 Passes 240
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds squeezed past Rhode Island 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rhode Island at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rhode Island had 60% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 40%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.10 to 0.42 — on chances, Rhode Island could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Rhode Island and 1.00 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Rhode Island 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 50%, draw 29%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rhode Island) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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