UD Ourense 1-0 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 May 2026

UD Ourense
1-0 HT 1-0
Conquense
📅24/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2025/2026

UD Ourense vs Conquense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.3pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UD Ourense v Conquense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ourense EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense EU Bookmakers 36%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.55/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.32
+26% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

UD Ourense 1-0 Conquense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ourense
1-0
AWAY Conquense
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH UD Ourense vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ourense nicked a narrow win over Conquense 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had UD Ourense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UD Ourense had 53% of the ball to Conquense's 47%, shots finished 5-6.

What was the final score of UD Ourense vs Conquense?

UD Ourense 1-0 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ourense vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ourense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split UD Ourense 44%, draw 25%, Conquense 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Ourense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD Ourense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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