America (K) 5-3 Washington Spirit (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONK, 24 May 2026

America (K)
5-3 HT 2-1
Washington Spirit (K)
📅24/05/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
CONK – 2025/2026

America (K) vs Washington Spirit (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.75
Over
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
15%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
36%
+9.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

America (K) v Washington Spirit (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Washington Spirit (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-49% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH America (K) vs Washington Spirit (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America (K) beat Washington Spirit (K) 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of America (K) vs Washington Spirit (K)?

America (K) 5-3 Washington Spirit (K) in the CONK on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America (K) vs Washington Spirit (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a America (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split America (K) 46%, draw 24%, Washington Spirit (K) 30%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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