UMF Tindastoll 1-2 Haukar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 24 Jun 2024

UMF Tindastoll
1-2 HT 1-2
Haukar
📅24/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - 2nd Division – 2024

UMF Tindastoll vs Haukar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.6pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UMF Tindastoll v Haukar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Haukar EU Bookmakers 21%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
6.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.70
+138% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

UMF Tindastoll 1-2 Haukar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UMF Tindastoll
1-2
AWAY Haukar
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UMF Tindastoll vs Haukar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haukar edged past UMF Tindastoll 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had UMF Tindastoll at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, UMF Tindastoll had 63% of the ball to Haukar's 37%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of UMF Tindastoll vs Haukar?

UMF Tindastoll 1-2 Haukar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 24/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Tindastoll vs Haukar?

Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split UMF Tindastoll 55%, draw 25%, Haukar 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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