National Bank of Egypt 5-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 24 Jun 2024

📅24/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 20%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.89
-43% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME National Bank of Egypt
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.22 xG 0.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
267 Passes 311
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
25.12.2023 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0-2 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME National Bank of Egypt
5-0
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
2.54 xG 0.42
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
268 Passes 303
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH National Bank of Egypt vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

National Bank of Egypt swept aside Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had National Bank of Egypt as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, National Bank of Egypt had 47% of the ball to Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's 53%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.54 to 0.42.

What was the final score of National Bank of Egypt vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

National Bank of Egypt 5-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 24/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for National Bank of Egypt vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split National Bank of Egypt 53%, draw 24%, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (National Bank of Egypt), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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