Tiller 2-2 Stabaek II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 24 Jun 2024

Tiller
2-2 HT 2-1
Stabaek II
📅24/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Norway - 3rd Division – 2024

Tiller vs Stabaek II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.23
No
31%
3.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
24%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.5pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.2pp
69%
BTTS Yes
77%
-8.1pp
31%
BTTS No
23%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tiller v Stabaek II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiller EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek II EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.72/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.49
-23% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
410 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
POST-MATCH Tiller vs Stabaek II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiller and Stabaek II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tiller at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (69%) came in.

What was the final score of Tiller vs Stabaek II?

Tiller 2-2 Stabaek II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 24/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiller vs Stabaek II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tiller win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tiller 48%, draw 17%, Stabaek II 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tiller) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tiller) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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