Goias 1-2 Athletic Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 24 Jun 2025

Goias
1-2 HT 0-1
Athletic Club
📅24/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Goias vs Athletic Club Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 33% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Goias v Athletic Club — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.42/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.25
+21% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
21.0 Crosses 18.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Goias 1-2 Athletic Club — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
1-2
AWAY Athletic Club
1.16 xG 1.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
188 Passes 247
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Goias vs Athletic Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club nicked a narrow win over Goias 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Goias at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Goias had 46% of the ball to Athletic Club's 54%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.16 to 1.87.

What was the final score of Goias vs Athletic Club?

Goias 1-2 Athletic Club in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Athletic Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Goias 48%, draw 27%, Athletic Club 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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