Awassa Kenema 2-1 Adama City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 24 Jun 2025

📅24/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Adama City EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.90/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.40/0.80
-2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Awassa Kenema
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Adama City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
25.10.2024 Adama City Adama City 2-0 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
15.06.2024 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 0-5 HT 0-2 Adama City Adama City ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
2-1
AWAY Adama City
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Adama City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema squeezed past Adama City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Adama City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 44% of the ball to Adama City's 56%, shots finished 3-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Adama City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Awassa Kenema and 3.50 for Adama City.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Adama City?

Awassa Kenema 2-1 Adama City in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 24/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Adama City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adama City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 28%, draw 22%, Adama City 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Adama City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adama City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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