Bosna-Hersek 3-1 Katar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 24 Jun 2026

📅24/06/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
8%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.97
2-3 Goals
34%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.99
6+ Goals
13%
9.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.71
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
3%
17.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
28%
3.87
X/2
4%
13.85
X/X
9%
6.58
2/1
8%
21.8
2/2
2%
11.6
2/X
7%
20.3
Value flag · X/1 at 3.87 — our 28% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
66%
+6.7pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.0pp
9%
Away Win
14%
-5.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bosna-Hersek EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Katar EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
407 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bosna-Hersek
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Katar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.08.2010 Bosna-Hersek Bosna-Hersek 1-1 HT 1-0 Katar Katar HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bosna-Hersek
3-1
AWAY Katar
0.68 xG 0.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
452 Passes 371
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bosna-Hersek vs Katar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bosna-Hersek got the better of Katar 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bosna-Hersek as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bosna-Hersek had 54% of the ball to Katar's 46%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.68 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Bosna-Hersek vs Katar?

Bosna-Hersek 3-1 Katar in the World Cup on 24/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bosna-Hersek vs Katar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bosna-Hersek win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Bosna-Hersek 73%, draw 19%, Katar 9%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bosna-Hersek), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bosna-Hersek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DK More World Cup
24 Jun 2026
02:00 Panama vs Hırvatistan Analysis →
05:00 Kolombiya vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti Analysis →
22:00 İsviçre vs Kanada Analysis →