PAOK 3-2 Borac Banja Luka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
4.47
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
47%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.56
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.89 — our 47% vs market 46.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
78%
-10.6pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.1pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Borac Banja Luka EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -18%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
476 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
3-2
AWAY Borac Banja Luka
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Borac Banja Luka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK nicked a narrow win over Borac Banja Luka 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, PAOK had 65% of the ball to Borac Banja Luka's 35%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Borac Banja Luka?

PAOK 3-2 Borac Banja Luka in the Champions League on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Borac Banja Luka?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split PAOK 67%, draw 17%, Borac Banja Luka 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
24 Jul 2024
21:00 Ludogorets Razgrad vs Dinamo Minsk Analysis →
21:15 Celje vs Slovan Bratislava Analysis →