Struga 2-1 Pyunik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 35% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Struga EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pyunik EU Bookmakers 34%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-77% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Struga
2-1
AWAY Pyunik
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Struga vs Pyunik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Struga edged past Pyunik 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Struga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Struga had 53% of the ball to Pyunik's 47%, shots finished 17-10.

What was the final score of Struga vs Pyunik?

Struga 2-1 Pyunik in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Struga vs Pyunik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Struga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Struga 39%, draw 29%, Pyunik 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Struga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Struga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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