El Salvador U20 1-4 Honduras U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF U20, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
36%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
26%
+15.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
50%
-13.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Salvador U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Honduras U20 EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
277 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Salvador U20
1-4
AWAY Honduras U20
0.30 xG 1.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
155 Passes 221
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH El Salvador U20 vs Honduras U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Honduras U20 ran out comfortable winners over El Salvador U20 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Honduras U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, El Salvador U20 had 44% of the ball to Honduras U20's 56%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.30 to 1.22.

What was the final score of El Salvador U20 vs Honduras U20?

El Salvador U20 1-4 Honduras U20 in the CONCACAF U20 on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Salvador U20 vs Honduras U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Salvador U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split El Salvador U20 41%, draw 23%, Honduras U20 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (El Salvador U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Salvador U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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