Orkla 1-2 Trygg/Lade — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
47%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
3.46
Over Pick
64%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
39%
4-5
30%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
16%
+13.5pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.4pp
47%
Away Win
66%
-18.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
25%
+10.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
75%
-10.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.1pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orkla The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Trygg/Lade The Market 70%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -71% / -71%
2.25/3.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
+48% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -70%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orkla
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Trygg/Lade
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.10.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 0-2 HT 0-0 Orkla Orkla NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orkla
1-2
AWAY Trygg/Lade
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 29
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Orkla vs Trygg/Lade
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trygg/Lade squeezed past Orkla 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trygg/Lade as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Orkla had 32% of the ball to Trygg/Lade's 68%, shots finished 14-29.

What was the final score of Orkla vs Trygg/Lade?

Orkla 1-2 Trygg/Lade in the Norway - 3rd Division on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orkla vs Trygg/Lade?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Orkla 30%, draw 24%, Trygg/Lade 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trygg/Lade), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trygg/Lade) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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