Athletic Club 2-1 Sao Bernardo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 24 Jul 2026

Athletic Club
2-1 HT 1-1
Sao Bernardo FC
📅24/07/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Athletic Club vs Sao Bernardo FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
5.1
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Club v Sao Bernardo FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Bernardo FC EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.53/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.12
-4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.6
24.0 Crosses 14.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Athletic Club 2-1 Sao Bernardo FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
2-1
AWAY Sao Bernardo FC
0.69 xG 1.81
10 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 7
256 Passes 440
11 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Club vs Sao Bernardo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club nicked a narrow win over Sao Bernardo FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Athletic Club as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.69 to 1.81 — on chances, Sao Bernardo FC could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Sao Bernardo FC?

Athletic Club 2-1 Sao Bernardo FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Sao Bernardo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 42%, draw 29%, Sao Bernardo FC 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Club) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
24 Jul 2026
02:30 Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense Analysis →
03:30 Botafogo SP vs Juventude Analysis →