Seoul E-Land 4-3 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 24 Jul 2026

📅24/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.65
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
11%
6.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.65 — our 26% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
+0.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seoul E-Land EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 20%
-26% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.1 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seoul E-Land
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Changwon City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
09.03.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 HT 0-0 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land GKOK
06.06.2020 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land 1-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seoul E-Land
4-3
AWAY Changwon City
12 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Seoul E-Land vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seoul E-Land nicked a narrow win over Changwon City 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Seoul E-Land as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 12-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Seoul E-Land had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Seoul E-Land and 0.50 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Seoul E-Land vs Changwon City?

Seoul E-Land 4-3 Changwon City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seoul E-Land vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seoul E-Land win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Seoul E-Land 63%, draw 20%, Changwon City 17%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seoul E-Land), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Seoul E-Land) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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