Aarau vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aarau v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals
Aarau 1-0 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau nicked a narrow win over Etoile Carouge 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Etoile Carouge at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aarau had 30% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 70%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.84 to 0.81.
What was the final score of Aarau vs Etoile Carouge?
Aarau 1-0 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aarau vs Etoile Carouge?
Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aarau 33%, draw 24%, Etoile Carouge 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.