KFG Gardabar 4-1 KFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.31
No
42%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-14.2pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFG Gardabar EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY KFA EU Bookmakers 45%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.05/2.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.43
+24% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
315 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFG Gardabar
0W-1D-1L
AWAY KFA
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.08.2023 KFA KFA 2-1 HT 0-1 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
16.06.2023 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 0-0 KFA KFA İZL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFG Gardabar
4-1
AWAY KFA
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KFG Gardabar vs KFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFG Gardabar ran out comfortable winners over KFA 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KFA at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KFG Gardabar had 38% of the ball to KFA's 62%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, KFA led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for KFG Gardabar and 1.00 for KFA.

What was the final score of KFG Gardabar vs KFA?

KFG Gardabar 4-1 KFA in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFG Gardabar vs KFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an KFA win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split KFG Gardabar 33%, draw 24%, KFA 44%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KFA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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