Union La Calera 3-3 Copiapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Copiapo EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.40/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.33
-12% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.1 Crosses 12.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Copiapo
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.98 xG 1.61
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
256 Passes 281
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Copiapo Copiapo 2-0 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
02.09.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 1-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
11.03.2023 Copiapo Copiapo 0-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
08.10.2017 Union La Calera Union La Calera 4-2 HT 2-2 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
3-3
AWAY Copiapo
1.13 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
306 Passes 197
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
11 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Copiapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera and Copiapo shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Union La Calera at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Union La Calera had 56% of the ball to Copiapo's 44%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.13 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Union La Calera and 1.25 for Copiapo.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Copiapo?

Union La Calera 3-3 Copiapo in the Chile - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Copiapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 44%, draw 28%, Copiapo 27%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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