Stirling Lions 4-5 Armadale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL West, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.14
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.35
No
44%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
70%
-13.7pp
44%
BTTS No
30%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Lions EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Armadale EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.37/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.86
-30% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Lions
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Armadale
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Armadale Armadale 5-0 HT 3-0 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
08.07.2023 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 2-0 HT 1-0 Armadale Armadale AVUSB
27.05.2023 Armadale Armadale 0-5 HT 0-1 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
11.06.2022 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 0-0 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
19.03.2022 Armadale Armadale 1-2 HT 1-1 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions AVNPL
23.08.2014 Stirling Lions Stirling Lions 5-2 HT 3-1 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
POST-MATCH Stirling Lions vs Armadale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Armadale nicked a narrow win over Stirling Lions 5-4 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stirling Lions at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stirling Lions had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stirling Lions and 1.33 for Armadale.

What was the final score of Stirling Lions vs Armadale?

Stirling Lions 4-5 Armadale in the Australia - NPL West on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Lions vs Armadale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stirling Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stirling Lions 44%, draw 21%, Armadale 35%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stirling Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stirling Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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