Lida 3-0 Baranovichi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lida EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 32%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.86/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.45
-46% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lida
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Baranovichi
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Baranovichi Baranovichi 4-2 HT 2-2 Lida Lida BLR1
14.11.2021 Lida Lida 2-3 HT 1-0 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
28.08.2021 Baranovichi Baranovichi 0-4 HT 0-2 Lida Lida BLR1
13.06.2021 Lida Lida 1-2 HT 0-1 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lida
3-0
AWAY Baranovichi
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lida vs Baranovichi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lida ran out comfortable winners over Baranovichi 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lida as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lida had 56% of the ball to Baranovichi's 44%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Baranovichi led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Lida and 2.25 for Baranovichi.

What was the final score of Lida vs Baranovichi?

Lida 3-0 Baranovichi in the Belarus - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lida vs Baranovichi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lida win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lida 47%, draw 29%, Baranovichi 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lida), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lida) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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