Radnik Bijeljina 4-3 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Bijeljina EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +25%
1.76/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.59
+70% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +93%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Bijeljina
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2022 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
31.10.2021 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-2 HT 0-1 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
08.08.2021 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 1-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
20.03.2021 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-2 HT 1-1 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
27.02.2021 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
26.09.2020 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-1 HT 1-1 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
POST-MATCH Radnik Bijeljina vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Bijeljina squeezed past Velez Mostar 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Radnik Bijeljina found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radnik Bijeljina and 1.00 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Radnik Bijeljina vs Velez Mostar?

Radnik Bijeljina 4-3 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Bijeljina vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Radnik Bijeljina 34%, draw 30%, Velez Mostar 37%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
24 Aug 2024
22:00 Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Analysis →