AC Horsens 1-1 Vendsyssel FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.43
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
10%
4.58
X/2
10%
8.09
X/X
10%
5.75
2/1
6%
21.15
2/2
12%
5.34
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 11% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.5pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.45/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.54
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.7 Crosses 20.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Horsens
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
246 Passes 308
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2023 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 2-1 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
23.09.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-1 HT 2-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
17.10.2021 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-1 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
19.08.2021 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-2 HT 1-1 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
19.05.2019 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-1 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN
12.05.2019 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-1 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Horsens
1-1
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
2.90 xG 0.52
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
16 Corners 1
474 Passes 187
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
54 Box Touches 15
53 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AC Horsens vs Vendsyssel FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens and Vendsyssel FF shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AC Horsens at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AC Horsens had 68% of the ball to Vendsyssel FF's 32%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 2.90 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AC Horsens had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AC Horsens and 1.00 for Vendsyssel FF.

What was the final score of AC Horsens vs Vendsyssel FF?

AC Horsens 1-1 Vendsyssel FF in the Denmark 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Horsens vs Vendsyssel FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AC Horsens 44%, draw 23%, Vendsyssel FF 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AC Horsens), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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