Lorient 2-0 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Aug 2024

Lorient
2-0 HT 0-0
Grenoble
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Lorient vs Grenoble Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 24% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.81
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.75
X/1
22%
3.74
X/2
8%
12.7
X/X
5%
6.27
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
8%
9.6
2/X
8%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lorient v Grenoble — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.67/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.55
+4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
20.5 Crosses 12.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Lorient vs Grenoble Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Grenoble
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.56 xG 0.90
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
311 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.11.2019 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 2-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
08.02.2019 Grenoble Grenoble 0-1 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR2
03.09.2018 Lorient Lorient 1-0 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
03.04.2010 Grenoble Grenoble 1-2 HT 1-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
28.11.2009 Lorient Lorient 2-2 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR1
22.09.2009 Lorient Lorient 1-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FRLK

Lorient 2-0 Grenoble — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
2-0
AWAY Grenoble
2.23 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
367 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient got the better of Grenoble 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lorient had 54% of the ball to Grenoble's 46%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.23 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lorient had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lorient and 0.67 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Grenoble?

Lorient 2-0 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lorient 53%, draw 23%, Grenoble 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✓ BTTS No
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