Bourg en Bresse 01 1-1 Boulogne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.7
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.22
X/2
10%
5.78
X/X
13%
3.81
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
14%
4.28
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Boulogne EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.13/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.13
-9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Boulogne
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2022 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 3-1 HT 2-1 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
05.11.2021 Boulogne Boulogne 1-2 HT 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
23.03.2021 Boulogne Boulogne 0-0 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
18.09.2020 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 3-3 HT 2-3 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
29.11.2019 Boulogne Boulogne 1-0 HT 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Boulogne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourg en Bresse 01 and Boulogne shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bourg en Bresse 01 had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Bourg en Bresse 01 and 1.20 for Boulogne.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Boulogne?

Bourg en Bresse 01 1-1 Boulogne in the France - National League 1 on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Boulogne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourg en Bresse 01 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 39%, draw 29%, Boulogne 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bourg en Bresse 01), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bourg en Bresse 01) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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