Malacateco 0-1 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.2pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.14/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.09
-20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mixco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
19.11.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 3-0 HT 3-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
09.04.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
16.02.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 1-1 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
02.10.2022 Mixco Mixco 0-2 HT 0-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
31.07.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 3-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco nicked a narrow win over Malacateco 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Malacateco at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Malacateco and 0.33 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Mixco?

Malacateco 0-1 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 47%, draw 27%, Mixco 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Malacateco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malacateco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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