FC Eindhoven 0-3 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
6.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.28
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
19%
4.51
X/2
12%
8.75
X/X
10%
6.07
2/1
6%
20.3
2/2
12%
5.67
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.55/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.70
+2% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
22.3 Crosses 12.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Ajax II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.64 xG 1.41
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
253 Passes 503
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-2 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
25.09.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
10.03.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 5-1 HT 2-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
06.01.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
18.03.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
22.10.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-3 HT 0-2 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
0-3
AWAY Ajax II
0.78 xG 2.87
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 11
432 Passes 293
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Ajax II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax II swept aside FC Eindhoven 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Eindhoven at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 58% of the ball to Ajax II's 42%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.78 to 2.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Eindhoven and 1.67 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Ajax II?

FC Eindhoven 0-3 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 43%, draw 24%, Ajax II 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Eindhoven), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →