Cultural San 0-1 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒23:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.73/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.92
+33% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
35.6 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural San
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
1 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 11
197 Passes 336
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
29.03.2024 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 3-0 HT 2-0 Cultural San Cultural San PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
0-1
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.46 xG 0.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 209
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima squeezed past Cultural San 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Alianza Lima found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cultural San had 55% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 45%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.46 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Alianza Lima?

Cultural San 0-1 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 36%, draw 24%, Alianza Lima 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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