Stal Stalowa Wola vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stal Stalowa Wola v Pogon Siedlce — Team-Based Signals
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Pogon Siedlce Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Pogon Siedlce
POL2
2-0
HT 0-0
Stal Stalowa Wola
POL2
1-2
HT 0-1
Stal Stalowa Wola
POL2
Stal Stalowa Wola 1-3 Pogon Siedlce — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Siedlce beat Stal Stalowa Wola 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Pogon Siedlce found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 51% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 49%, shots finished 8-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stal Stalowa Wola had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stal Stalowa Wola and 1.33 for Pogon Siedlce.
What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs Pogon Siedlce?
Stal Stalowa Wola 1-3 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Pogon Siedlce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 40%, draw 30%, Pogon Siedlce 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.