Sepsi 0-1 Unirea Slobozia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.47
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 30% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-10.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.1pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Unirea Slobozia EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.12/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.52
+19% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
0-1
AWAY Unirea Slobozia
0.74 xG 1.44
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
406 Passes 150
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs Unirea Slobozia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unirea Slobozia edged past Sepsi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sepsi at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sepsi had 68% of the ball to Unirea Slobozia's 32%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.74 to 1.44.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs Unirea Slobozia?

Sepsi 0-1 Unirea Slobozia in the Romania - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs Unirea Slobozia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 50%, draw 29%, Unirea Slobozia 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sepsi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepsi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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