Skalica 1-2 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.72
6+ Goals
6%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51 — our 39% vs market 33.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.5pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skalica EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.18/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.86
-24% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
15.0 Crosses 18.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skalica
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.73 xG 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
269 Passes 356
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-0 HT 0-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
27.08.2023 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
11.11.2022 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-1 HT 0-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
27.08.2022 Skalica Skalica 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
26.06.2019 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 3-3 HT 1-1 Skalica Skalica HAZ
06.11.2015 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-1 HT 0-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skalica
1-2
AWAY Spartak Trnava
0.58 xG 2.11
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
191 Passes 420
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Skalica vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava nicked a narrow win over Skalica 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartak Trnava as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Skalica had 36% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 64%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.58 to 2.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Spartak Trnava's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Skalica and 1.67 for Spartak Trnava.

What was the final score of Skalica vs Spartak Trnava?

Skalica 1-2 Spartak Trnava in the Slovakia Super League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skalica vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Skalica 24%, draw 32%, Spartak Trnava 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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