Tolmin 1-1 ND Slovan Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 24 Aug 2024

Tolmin
1-1 HT 1-0
ND Slovan Ljubljana
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Slovenia - 2.SNL – 2024/2025

Tolmin vs ND Slovan Ljubljana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tolmin v ND Slovan Ljubljana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tolmin EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Slovan Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 29%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+95% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +62%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 5.0
POST-MATCH Tolmin vs ND Slovan Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tolmin and ND Slovan Ljubljana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tolmin at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Tolmin vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Tolmin 1-1 ND Slovan Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tolmin vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tolmin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 42%, draw 24%, ND Slovan Ljubljana 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tolmin), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tolmin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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