Mura 1-0 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.27/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.32
-4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Radomlje
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 1-2 HT 1-1 Mura Mura SLVN
25.02.2024 Mura Mura 0-0 HT 0-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
29.10.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
19.08.2023 Mura Mura 0-2 HT 0-2 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
15.04.2023 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
18.02.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
1-0
AWAY Radomlje
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mura vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura edged past Radomlje 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mura as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mura had 51% of the ball to Radomlje's 49%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mura and 0.83 for Radomlje.

What was the final score of Mura vs Radomlje?

Mura 1-0 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mura 41%, draw 30%, Radomlje 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mura), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mura) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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