Al Kholood 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.75
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
43%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.87
2-3 Goals
41%
2.05
4-5 Goals
24%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
5.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
23%
+9.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
43%
Away Win
56%
-13.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.0pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
Crosses 20.5
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 1.32
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 8
313 Passes 768
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 37
9 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2023 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
0-1
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.73 xG 2.22
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
216 Passes 483
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah edged past Al Kholood 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Kholood had 34% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 66%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.73 to 2.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ittihad-Jeddah's control.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Kholood 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 33%, draw 24%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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