Oleksandria vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oleksandria v Shakhtar Donetsk — Team-Based Signals
Oleksandria vs Shakhtar Donetsk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Oleksandria
UKR
1-1
HT 1-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
UKR
2-2
HT 1-1
Oleksandria
UKR
1-2
HT 0-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
UKR
1-2
HT 1-2
Oleksandria
UKR
Oleksandria 4-3 Shakhtar Donetsk — Actual Match Statistics
Oleksandria nicked a narrow win over Shakhtar Donetsk 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Shakhtar Donetsk at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 7-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Oleksandria and 1.83 for Shakhtar Donetsk.
What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Oleksandria 4-3 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 25%, draw 24%, Shakhtar Donetsk 52%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.