One Knoxville 1-1 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.41/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.28
-6% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.3
21.0 Crosses 25.1
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
1-1
AWAY Spokane Velocity
2.25 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
443 Passes 415
90% Pass Accuracy 89%
28 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville and Spokane Velocity couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was One Knoxville at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, One Knoxville had 52% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 48%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.25 to 1.23.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?

One Knoxville 1-1 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 41%, draw 27%, Spokane Velocity 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (One Knoxville) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →