Atletico Choloma 2-1 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
55%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
28%
-6.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
55%
Away Win
45%
+10.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Choloma EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Atletico Choloma vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Choloma nicked a narrow win over Genesis PN 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Genesis PN carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Atletico Choloma vs Genesis PN?

Atletico Choloma 2-1 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Choloma vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genesis PN win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico Choloma 22%, draw 23%, Genesis PN 55%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genesis PN) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genesis PN) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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