Ümraniyespor 1-1 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2025

Ümraniyespor
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Hatayspor
📅24/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ümraniyespor vs Hatayspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.72
No
46%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.29
2-3
46%
1.8
4-5
22%
3.59
6+
5%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.98
1/2
2%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
16%
4.85
X/2
11%
6.6
X/X
17%
4.68
2/1
3%
24.95
2/2
16%
4.77
2/X
5%
13.6
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Ümraniyespor v Hatayspor — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ümraniyespor The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor The Market 33%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.34
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.34
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Ümraniyespor vs Hatayspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hatayspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.49 xG 1.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
334 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.01.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-2 HT 1-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
15.03.2020 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
10.11.2019 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor T1L
07.04.2019 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor T1L
04.11.2018 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
23.03.2016 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor S2-B

Ümraniyespor 1-1 Hatayspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
1 - 1
AWAY Hatayspor
1.77 xG 1.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
260 Passes 358
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Ümraniyespor vs Hatayspor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ümraniyespor and Hatayspor traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ümraniyespor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.

By the numbers, Ümraniyespor had 43% of the ball to Hatayspor's 57%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 1.77 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ümraniyespor and 0.67 for Hatayspor.

Ümraniyespor vs Hatayspor Result & Final Score

Ümraniyespor 1 - 1 Hatayspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ümraniyespor vs Hatayspor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 43%, draw 27%, Hatayspor 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ümraniyespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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