GMG Kastamonuspor 0-1 Ankaraspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ankaraspor EU Bookmakers 26%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.31/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.65
-22% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +97%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ankaraspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Ankaraspor 3-0 HT 1-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
08.12.2024 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Ankaraspor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
0-1
AWAY Ankaraspor
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs Ankaraspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ankaraspor squeezed past GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was GMG Kastamonuspor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, GMG Kastamonuspor had 49% of the ball to Ankaraspor's 51%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for GMG Kastamonuspor and 1.50 for Ankaraspor.

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs Ankaraspor?

GMG Kastamonuspor 0-1 Ankaraspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs Ankaraspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 43%, draw 29%, Ankaraspor 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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