Uzhhorod 1-2 Yarud Mariupol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Cup, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
2.8
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
45%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
26%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
32%
-13.5pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.9pp
46%
Away Win
37%
+8.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uzhhorod EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Yarud Mariupol EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Uzhhorod vs Yarud Mariupol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yarud Mariupol nicked a narrow win over Uzhhorod 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yarud Mariupol as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Uzhhorod vs Yarud Mariupol?

Uzhhorod 1-2 Yarud Mariupol in the Ukraine - Cup on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uzhhorod vs Yarud Mariupol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yarud Mariupol win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Uzhhorod 19%, draw 36%, Yarud Mariupol 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yarud Mariupol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yarud Mariupol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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