PAOK vs AE Larissa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PAOK v AE Larissa — Team-Based Signals
PAOK vs AE Larissa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
AE Larissa
YUK
1-1
HT 0-0
PAOK
YUK
1-2
HT 1-2
PAOK
YUK
5-0
HT 2-0
AE Larissa
YUK
1-1
HT 0-0
PAOK
YUN
1-0
HT 1-0
AE Larissa
YUN
PAOK 1-0 AE Larissa — Actual Match Statistics
PAOK squeezed past AE Larissa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, PAOK had 67% of the ball to AE Larissa's 33%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.02 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold PAOK's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for PAOK and 0.67 for AE Larissa.
What was the final score of PAOK vs AE Larissa?
PAOK 1-0 AE Larissa in the Greece - Super League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PAOK vs AE Larissa?
Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split PAOK 71%, draw 18%, AE Larissa 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.