Leamington 4-1 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.78
Over
42%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.74
No
56%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.04
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.85
6+
8%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Leamington The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City The Market 37%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.43 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.21
1.04 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.32
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leamington
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Oxford City
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
25.03.2014 Leamington Leamington 4-0 HT 3-0 Oxford City Oxford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leamington
4-1
AWAY Oxford City
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Leamington vs Oxford City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Leamington made light work of Oxford City 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Leamington found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Leamington had 41% of the ball to Oxford City's 59%, shots finished 12-12.

Leamington vs Oxford City Result & Final Score

Leamington 4-1 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leamington vs Oxford City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Leamington win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leamington 39%, draw 28%, Oxford City 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leamington) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leamington) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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