Burton Albion 1-2 Notts County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - EFL Trophy, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.1
Over
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.57
No
41%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.06
2-3
45%
1.85
4-5
26%
3.08
6+
8%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Burton Albion The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Notts County The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.77 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.40
1.22 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.57
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 73%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18 Crosses
1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Notts County
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 10
03.09.2013 Notts County Notts County 1-0 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İNTK
28.12.2009 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-4 HT 1-2 Notts County Notts County İN2
05.09.2009 Notts County Notts County 1-1 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
1 - 2
AWAY Notts County
1.90 xG 1.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
419 Passes 405
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Burton Albion vs Notts County
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Notts County shaded a tight game against Burton Albion 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Burton Albion at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Burton Albion had 52% of the ball to Notts County's 48%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.90 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Notts County led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Burton Albion and 2.00 for Notts County.

Burton Albion vs Notts County Result & Final Score

Burton Albion 1 - 2 Notts County in the England - EFL Trophy on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Burton Albion vs Notts County Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 45%, draw 25%, Notts County 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burton Albion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burton Albion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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