Cobreloa 0-1 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.7pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.32/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.88
-14% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
24.8 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobreloa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Nublense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.50 xG 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
302 Passes 310
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
28.04.2024 Nublense Nublense 6-0 HT 5-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
05.10.2020 Nublense Nublense 3-2 HT 3-2 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
15.09.2019 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-2 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİLİB
05.05.2019 Nublense Nublense 3-2 HT 2-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
13.09.2015 Nublense Nublense 1-1 HT 1-1 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
03.05.2015 Nublense Nublense 3-2 HT 1-1 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobreloa
0-1
AWAY Nublense
1.40 xG 0.69
68% Ball Possession 32%
26 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
409 Passes 168
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 13
38 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cobreloa vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense edged past Cobreloa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Nublense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cobreloa had 68% of the ball to Nublense's 32%, shots finished 26-10, expected goals 1.40 to 0.69 — on chances, Cobreloa could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nublense led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cobreloa and 3.00 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Cobreloa vs Nublense?

Cobreloa 0-1 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobreloa vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cobreloa 37%, draw 25%, Nublense 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nublense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nublense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
24 Sep 2024
21:00 Palestino vs Deportes Iquique Analysis →